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Probability Spread

Probability spread describes the difference between the probabilities represented by available buying and selling prices in a prediction market.

Why it matters to you

A market may be casually described as: "60%" while the actual tradable prices could be closer to: Bid: 58% Ask: 62% That distinction matters. The displayed headline probability is not necessarily the exact price at which you can execute a trade.

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Live odds, what settles this week and five tools.