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Which question do I want to trade?
Find a Yes or No question. Check its price, end date and rules.
320 questions, as of Nov 12, 1:51 PM New York
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Polymarket, rates and economy, 27 days to go
89%
chance of yes
$13
what $100 on yes wins
1c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100$919k traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Polymarket, rates and economy, 27 days to go
10%
chance of yes
$857
what $100 on yes wins
0c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100$713k traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Will the Fed Hike rates by >25bps at its December 2026 meeting
Kalshi, rates and economy, 27 days to go
11%
chance of yes
$852
what $100 on yes wins
1c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100399k contracts traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Will the Fed raise rates by 0.25% at its December 2026 meeting
Kalshi, rates and economy, 27 days to go
88%
chance of yes
$14
what $100 on yes wins
1c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100280k contracts traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027
Kalshi, politics and world, 50 days to go
49%
chance of yes
$106
what $100 on yes wins
1c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100the prices in this set do not add up174k contracts traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026
Kalshi, crypto, 49 days to go
12%
chance of yes
$770
what $100 on yes wins
1c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100126k contracts traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Kalshi, rates and economy, 27 days to go
12%
chance of yes
$770
what $100 on yes wins
1c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 10080k contracts traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
Where will Jensen Huang work next in 2026
Kalshi, business and tech, 49 days to go
11%
chance of yes
$809
what $100 on yes wins
2c
to get in and out
Easy to trade, 90 out of 100the prices in this set do not add up71k contracts traded todayCheck this bet
How that score is built
Base +40, Money traded +25, Spread +10, Time to settle +10, Clear rule +5
From Polymarket, the 500 most traded events today. From Kalshi, every traded market that settles at least six hours from now, refreshed every few minutes by our own scan. Sports and entertainment are left out of both. What $100 wins is before fees, so open a row in Bet Check for the true cost. Educational only. It describes; it never tells you what to buy.
How this tool works
How the score works
- 01
Money traded today earns up to 25 points. A market nobody trades has a price nobody defends.
- 02
A tight spread earns 10 points; a spread over 10 cents loses 10. The spread is what the other side keeps.
- 03
Settling in 3 to 90 days earns 10 points. Under a day loses 15: that is where the bots live.
- 04
A clear rule with a named source and a time earns 5 points. A vague rule loses 5. The rule is the bet.
- 05
Short price windows lose 40 points. Insider prone questions and daily weather markets lose 15. A thin book loses 10. Long shots and near certain bets lose 5.
- 06
Prices out of order, and sets of outcomes whose Yes prices add up to less than 97% or more than 103%, are noted, not scored. In theory one side of every outcome can then be bought for less than the $1 it pays. Fees and the spread usually eat it.
Yearly rates are before fees; open a row in Bet Check for the true cost. Educational only. It describes; it never tells you what to buy.
How the calculation works
- 01Score = 40 base, plus up to 25 for money traded (rank within its platform), plus the spread, time to settle and rule clarity lines, minus each flag.
- 02Bands: 75 and up lower friction, 50 to 74 mixed, under 50 higher friction. The lines under each row show every part.
Data sources and update times
- Polymarket
- The top 500 events by activity
- Scan cached 10 minutes
- Kalshi
- Series filled by the site's scan job
- Every 10 minutes