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Price Discovery

Price discovery is the process through which buying and selling help establish the market price of an asset or contract. In prediction markets, this process can produce a changing market estimate of an outcome's probability.

Why it matters to you

The displayed probability does not appear from nowhere. It emerges from participants expressing different views through trades and orders. As information and expectations change, the market continually searches for a new price.

See the prediction markets front

Live odds, what settles this week and five tools.