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Thin Market
A thin market is a market with relatively limited liquidity or trading interest around the current price.
Why it matters to you
A headline probability can appear more authoritative than the market behind it really is. For example: Market A: 62% with substantial liquidity and active trading. Market B: 62% with very little liquidity and a wide spread. Both display 62%. But they do not necessarily provide equally strong information about market consensus.
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