Information Advantage
An information advantage exists when a trader possesses or develops information relevant to an outcome that is not yet fully reflected in the market price.
Why it matters to you
The important question is not: "Do I know something?" It is: "Does what I know materially change the probability, and has the market already priced it?" Information that is already widely known may have little trading value.
Terms that sit next to this one
Public Information
See the prediction markets front
Live odds, what settles this week and five tools.