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Threshold Market

A threshold market is a prediction market asking whether a measurable value will be above, below, reach or otherwise satisfy a specified level according to defined rules. Examples could involve: an asset price, an inflation reading, an interest rate, a company metric, or another measurable variable.

Why it matters to you

Multiple threshold markets can reveal more information than one market alone. Comparing them can help traders understand how the market is pricing the distribution of possible outcomes.

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Live odds, what settles this week and five tools.