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All termsThe GreeksWorth knowing

Delta as Probability

Delta is sometimes used as a rough shortcut for estimating the probability that an option will finish in the money, but Delta is fundamentally a measure of option price sensitivity rather than a direct probability measure.

Why it matters to you

A trader may hear: "A 0.30 Delta means a 30% probability of expiring ITM." That can be a useful rough heuristic under certain assumptions, but it should not be treated as an exact or universal probability.